Senior Analyst, Forecasting

By clicking the “Apply” button, I understand that my employment application process with Takeda will commence and that the information I provide in my application will be processed in line with Takeda’s Privacy Notice and Terms of Use.  I further attest that all information I submit in my employment application is true to the best of my knowledge. Job Description The Future Begins Here At Takeda, we are leading digital evolution and global transformation. By building innovative solutions and future-ready capabilities, we are meeting the need of patients, our people, and the planet. Bengaluru, the city, which is India’s epicenter of Innovation, has been selected to be home to Takeda’s recently launched Innovation Capability Center. We invite you to join our digital transformation journey. In this role, you will have the opportunity to boost your skills and become the heart of an innovative engine that is contributing to global impact and improvement.   At Takeda’s ICC we Unite in Diversity Takeda is committed to creating an inclusive and collaborative workplace, where individuals are recognized for their backgrounds and abilities they bring to our company. We are continuously improving our collaborators journey in Takeda, and we welcome applications from all qualified candidates. Here, you will feel welcomed, respected, and valued as an important contributor to our diverse team OBJECTIVES / PURPOSE We are seeking a forecaster to join Takeda's GCC Commercial Analytics & Insights (CA&I) organization in India as part of the Forecasting capability supporting International Business Units (IBU). This individual contributor role is responsible for building, maintaining, and evolving multiple forecast types across Ex-US markets - including short-term in-market demand forecasts, long-term strategic forecasts, patient-based epidemiology forecasts, and launch and event scenarios - in partnership with affiliate forecasting leads. The Senior Analyst is accountable for forecast model integrity, assumption discipline, and the business relevance of outputs delivered into brand planning, S&OP, and portfolio cycles. ACCOUNTABILITIES Forecast Model Development and Delivery Build and maintain a portfolio of forecasts across multiple IBU markets and brands, spanning short-term tactical forecasts (24-36 months), long-term strategic forecasts (10+ years), in-line product forecasts, and pipeline and BD forecasts. Apply the appropriate forecast methodology to each disease area, including patient-based approaches (prevalence, incidence, disease progression), demand-based approaches (trend, time-series, regression, exponential smoothing), and hybrid models that integrate both. Conduct scenario and sensitivity analyses for market events, competitive entries, LOEs, pricing changes, indication expansions, and access scenarios across IBU geographies. Maintain rigorous assumption documentation, version control, and audit trails for every forecast cycle, supporting reproducibility and review by affiliate and global stakeholders. Track forecast accuracy across cycles, perform variance analyses against actuals, and translate learnings into improved drivers and assumptions for the next cycle. Data, Methodology, and Tooling Work with IQVIA MIDAS, local audit data, syndicated subnational data, claims, prescription data, and epidemiology sources to build robust market and patient views across Ex-US geographies. Apply statistical and machine learning techniques where appropriate - including ARIMA, exponential smoothing, regression (single and multivariate), Prophet, and other time-series methods - to enhance forecast accuracy for in-market brands. Build forecast outputs and tracking dashboards in Tableau or Power BI; structure model files in Excel and, where applicable, in Python or R for automation and reproducibility. Stakeholder Partnership and Communication Partner with affiliate forecasting leads, brand teams, finance, and global IBU stakeholders to clarify intake, align on methodology, and walk through outputs, assumptions, risks, and scenarios. Translate model outputs into clear narratives, decision-grade slides, and assumption summaries tailored to commercial, finance, and senior leadership audiences. Represent the GCC forecasting pod in cross-functional working sessions for brand planning, S&OP, LRP, and ad-hoc strategic questions. Process Improvement and Operational Excellence Identify opportunities to automate recurring forecast updates, standardize templates across markets and brands, and build reusable assumption libraries that improve speed and consistency. Contribute to building capability within the GCC pod, including knowledge sharing, documentation of best practices, and onboarding support for new analysts. Leverage AI and GenAI tools to accelerate data preparation, assumption research, deviation reasoning, and narrative generation within forecasting workflows. Knowledge, Skills & Experience Education Bachelor's Degree required in Statistics, Economics, Data Science, Life Sciences, Computer Science, Engineering, or a related quantitative field. Advanced degree (Master's or MBA) in Analytics, Economics, Data Science, Business, or a related quantitative field is strongly preferred. Relevant certifications in forecasting, analytics, cloud platforms, or statistical methods are a plus. Experience 3-5 years of progressive experience in pharmaceutical forecasting or related quantitative areas. Hands-on experience building and maintaining multiple forecast types - including prevalence and disease-progression (patient-based) models and demand-based models, across short-term and long-term, in-line and launch horizons - across more than one market. Experience supporting Ex-US markets is required, particularly EU markets; exposure to Asian or Latin American markets is a strong plus. Working knowledge of pharma data assets such as IQVIA MIDAS, local audit data, prescription and claims data, and epidemiology sources for Ex-US markets. Advanced Excel skills for forecast model construction are required. Strong experience with Tableau or Power BI for forecast tracking, scenario reporting, and commercial performance dashboard development. Familiarity with cloud analytics environments (Databricks, AWS, Azure) and forecasting platforms (e.g., Anaplan, JDA/Blue Yonder, SAP IBP) is a plus. Demonstrated ability to manage multiple forecast cycles simultaneously in a fast-paced, cross-cultural, matrixed environment. Working knowledge of coding techniques such as Python, R, or SAS for data preparation, time-series analysis, and automation is a nice to have, not a mandatory requirement. Skills & Competencies Pharmaceutical Domain Knowledge – Understands demand drivers, patient flow, market events, lifecycle stages, and competitive dynamics across therapy areas and Ex-US markets. Analytical Rigor – Applies disciplined assumption management, sensitivity analysis, and accuracy tracking to every forecast deliverable. Stakeholder Partnership – Builds trusted working relationships with affiliate forecasting leads, brand teams, finance, and global partners across multiple time zones. Data Storytelling – Distils forecast outputs, assumptions, risks, and scenarios into clear narratives with practical business implications and decision points. Operational Excellence – Identifies and implements opportunities to automate, standardize, and scale forecasting workflows using modern tools and practices. Cross-Cultural Communication – Fluent communicator across India-EU-Asia-LatAm time zones; adapts style effectively for technical and commercial audiences. Operational Excellence — Identifies and implements opportunities to automate, standardize, and scale forecasting workflows using modern tools and engineering practices. Cross-Cultural Communication — Fluent communicator across India-EU-Asia-LatAm time zones; adapts style effectively for technical and commercial audiences TAKEDA LEADERSHIP BEHAVIORS In alignment with Takeda’s Values-Based Culture, this role requires demonstration of the following leadership behaviors: Act with Integrity — Deliver accurate, transparent work and take full responsibility for quality. Collaborate Cross-Functionally — Contribute positively to GCC-IBU team workflows and cross-functional collaboration. Drive Accountability — Take ownership of all assigned tasks and deliver on commitments. Embrace Learning — Continuously build analytical and domain capabilities through feedback and self-driven development. BENEFITS: It is our priority to provide competitive compensation and a benefit package that bridges your personal life with your professional career. Amongst our benefits are: Competitive Salary + Performance Annual Bonus Flexible work environment, including hybrid working Comprehensive Healthcare Insurance Plans for self, spouse, and children Group Term Life Insurance and Group Accident Insurance programs Employee Assistance Program Broad Variety of learning platforms Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion Programs Reimbursements – Home Internet & Mobile Phone Employee Referral Program Leaves – Paternity Leave (4 Weeks) , Maternity Leave (up to 26 weeks), Bereavement Leave (5 calendar days) ABOUT ICC IN TAKEDA: Takeda is leading a digital revolution. We’re not just transforming our company; we’re improving the lives of millions of patients who rely on our medicines every day. As an organization, we are committed to our cloud-driven business transformation and believe the ICCs are the catalysts of change for our global organization. #Li-Hybrid Locations IND - Bengaluru Worker Type Employee Worker Sub-Type Regular Time Type Full time